Grimsby vs Bristol Rvs Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Blundell Park
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.42
Draw
3.73
Away Win
2.69
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Grimsby
Bristol Rvs
10'
🟨 Ben Purrington
Kieran Green ⚽
22'
38'
🟨 Shaqai Forde
Géza Dávid Turi (Charles Vernam) ⚽
40'
Kieran Green 🟨
64'
64'
🟨 Kofi Balmer
Charles Vernam 🟨
71'
75'
🟥 Tommy Leigh
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
8
Total Shots
3
3
Shots on Goal
1
8
Corner Kicks
8
9
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Grimsby (4-1-4-1)
D. Harrington
H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri
C. McJannet
J. Sweeney
G. Turi
S. Finch
K. Green
M. Shelton
C. Vernam
A. Cook
Bristol Rvs (4-2-3-1)
Brad Young
T. James
K. Balmer
R. Harbottle
B. Purrington
R. Smallwood
C. Mola
S. Forde
T. Leigh
B. Kamwa
F. Cavegn
Player Ratings ?
Grimsby
G. TuriM8.0
C. VernamM7.6
K. GreenM7.4
Bristol Rvs
J. QuigleyF6.6
E. HarrisonF6.5
C. KellyD6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Grimsby edge defence, Bristol Rvs edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bristol Rvs slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Grimsby slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides have shown resilience in their latest outings, with Bristol Rovers recording three wins from five away fixtures while Grimsby enjoy an identical tally of three victories from five home matches. Grimsby have found the net in every one of their last five home games, yet they have conceded in three of those same encounters, leaving them with just two clean sheets during that period. Bristol Rvs rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while Grimsby hold a slight advantage in defence. Bristol Rvs won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 21 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Grimsby's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Grimsby
Grimsby's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Grimsby win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Grimsby win
Latest market chance 39.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
41.3% → 39.1%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.4%
−0.1 pts
Bristol Rvs win
Latest market chance 34.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.3% → 34.5%
+2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Grimsby
Draw
Bristol Rvs
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GrimsbyBristol Rvs
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
2.40
1.40
Goals/Game
2.40
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.20
15.7
Shots/Game
16.1
4.9
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Grimsby at home (5 matches) vs Bristol Rvs away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.60
1.60
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.20
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Grimsby
Home form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bristol Rvs
Away form
W
W
D
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Grimsby Wins
1
Draws
1
Bristol Rvs Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Bristol Rvs3 – 1Grimsby
Grimsby0 – 1Bristol Rvs
Grimsby0 – 1Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs0 – 0Grimsby
Grimsby4 – 3Bristol Rvs
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Grimsbyvs
Bristol Rvs
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 54.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.3%→Latest 58.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Grimsby's 10 matches and 5 of Bristol Rvs's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?