Northampton vs Crawley Town Head to Head, Prediction
Sixfields Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
3.95
Away Win
4.37
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Northampton
Crawley Town
N. Opoku (J. O'Brien Whitmarsh) ⚽
38'
42'
🟨 K. Krasniqi
L. Evans 🟥
55'
60'
🟨 J. Arthurs
67'
⚽ D. Pereira
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Northampton edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Crawley Town edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Crawley Town slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Northampton
Northampton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Northampton win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Northampton win
Latest market chance 53.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
54.9% → 53.7%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 25.1%
+0.3 pts
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 21.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.3% → 21.2%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Northampton
Draw
Crawley Town
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NorthamptonCrawley Town
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
17th
3
Games Played
3
0.67
Points/Game
1.00
0.33
Goals/Game
0.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
10.1
Shots/Game
13.9
3.6
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Northampton at home (4 matches) vs Crawley Town away (4 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Northampton
Home form
D
W
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crawley Town
Away form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Northampton Wins
3
Draws
0
Crawley Town Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Crawley Town3 – 0Northampton
Northampton3 – 0Crawley Town
Northampton1 – 0Crawley Town
Crawley Town2 – 3Northampton
Northampton0 – 1Crawley Town
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Northamptonvs
Crawley Town
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 51.6%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 53.2%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Northampton's 10 matches and 7 of Crawley Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?