Northampton vs Rotherham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sixfields Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.48
Draw
3.53
Away Win
2.72
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Northampton
Rotherham
48'
🟨 Josh Austerfield
66'
🟨 Ossama Ashley
Max Dyche 🟨
72'
73'
⚽ (P) Paul Mullin
Tyrese Fornah 🟨
85'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
17
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
7
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Northampton (4-4-2)
Z. Jeacock
J. Wormleighton
M. Dyche
E. Moore
J. Guthrie
O. Dale
T. Fornah
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
Joshua Alan Powell
N. Opoku
S. Chambers
Rotherham (3-4-1-2)
J. Eyestone
D. Hall
D. Iorfa
Sonny Aljofree
A. Nemane
O. Ashley
Brandon Ashley Cover
E. Otoo
J. Austerfield
Fábio Tavares
P. Mullin
Player Ratings ?
Northampton
Z. JeacockG7.0
J. GuthrieD6.9
T. FornahM6.7
Rotherham
P. MullinF7.1
K. SpenceM7.0
K. NgwenyaD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Northampton edge defence, Rotherham edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rotherham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rotherham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rotherham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rotherham have recorded two wins and a draw in their last five away outings, while Northampton have secured two victories and two draws in their home matches over the same span. Northampton have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures and have kept two clean sheets during that period. Rotherham rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Northampton rate stronger on defence. Rotherham won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 27 January 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Northampton's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Northampton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Rotherham's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Rotherham
Rotherham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Rotherham win as more likely than it did 3 days ago. Northampton remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Northampton win
Latest market chance 38.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
39.7% → 38.5%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.6%
−0.3 pts
Rotherham win
Latest market chance 33.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.4% → 33.9%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Northampton
Draw
Rotherham
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NorthamptonRotherham
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.67
10.1
Shots/Game
12.4
3.6
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Northampton at home (4 matches) vs Rotherham away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.80
0.50
Goals/Game
0.80
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.20
25%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Northampton
Home form
W
L
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rotherham
Away form
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Northampton Wins
0
Draws
0
Rotherham Wins
5
Avg Goals
2.8
Rotherham2 – 1Northampton
Northampton1 – 2Rotherham
Northampton0 – 2Rotherham
Rotherham3 – 0Northampton
Northampton0 – 3Rotherham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Northamptonvs
Rotherham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 45.7%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 51.2%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Northampton's 10 matches and 4 of Rotherham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?