Oldham vs Chesterfield Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Boundary Park
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Oldham
Chesterfield
18'
• Lee Bonis
18'
⚽ Lee Bonis
Oliver Norburn 🟨
28'
30'
🟨 Remeao Hutton
37'
🟨 Kyle McFadzean
Favour fawunmi (Jamie Robson) ⚽
50'
52'
⚽ Dilan Markanday (Josh Koroma)
Ryan Delaney 🟨
55'
82'
🟨 Junior Eccleston
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
5
1
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Oldham (4-2-3-1)
M. Hudson
G. Scott-Morriss
D. Daniels
R. Delaney
J. Robson
O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson
F. Fawunmi
C. Kavanagh
K. Drummond
M. Fondop-Talum
Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)
R. Boot
R. Hutton
K. McFadzean
J. Simpson
L. Gordon
G. McEachran
R. Stirk
D. Markanday
J. Koroma
L. Bonis
L. Marsh
Player Ratings ?
Oldham
F. FawunmiM7.2
E. MontheD6.7
M. HudsonG6.7
Chesterfield
D. MarkandayM7.9
L. BonisM7.4
J. KoromaM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oldham edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Chesterfield edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oldham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Chesterfield have recorded two wins in that same stretch away from home. Oldham have scored in each of their last five matches at home but have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Chesterfield rate stronger on form, while Oldham rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Oldham won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 17 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Chesterfield's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Oldham
Oldham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oldham win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oldham win
Latest market chance 44.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
39.0% → 44.0%
+5.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 28.1%
−0.7 pts
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 27.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
32.2% → 27.9%
−4.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oldham
Draw
Chesterfield
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OldhamChesterfield
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
17th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
1.00
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.40
15.0
Shots/Game
18.4
4.1
Shots on Target
6.4
Home vs Away Context
Oldham at home (4 matches) vs Chesterfield away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oldham
Home form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Chesterfield
Away form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oldham Wins
2
Draws
3
Chesterfield Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Chesterfield0 – 3Oldham
Oldham1 – 1Chesterfield
Oldham2 – 2Chesterfield
Chesterfield1 – 1Oldham
Chesterfield0 – 1Oldham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oldhamvs
Chesterfield
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.9%→Latest 50.4%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 54.7%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Oldham's 10 matches and 5 of Chesterfield's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?