Port Vale vs Grimsby Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Vale Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.50
Draw
3.30
Away Win
2.77
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Port Vale edge defence, Grimsby edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Port Vale slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Grimsby have drawn four of their last five away fixtures, while Port Vale at home have secured just a single win in that same span. Port Vale have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have kept two clean sheets during that period. Grimsby rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Port Vale hold a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 21 April 2025, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Port Vale win
Latest market chance 38.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.2% → 38.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.7%
±0.0 pts
Grimsby win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.1% → 34.1%
±0.0 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Port ValeGrimsby
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
9th
7
Games Played
9
0.71
Points/Game
1.44
0.43
Goals/Game
1.44
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.11
11.0
Shots/Game
15.7
2.9
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Port Vale at home (3 matches) vs Grimsby away (4 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.75
0.67
Goals/Game
1.25
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Port Vale
Home form
D
L
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Grimsby
Away form
D
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Port Vale Wins
1
Draws
1
Grimsby Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.6
Port Vale2 – 2Grimsby
Grimsby3 – 0Port Vale
Grimsby1 – 0Port Vale
Port Vale3 – 0Grimsby
Grimsby5 – 2Port Vale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Port Valevs
Grimsby
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.2%→Latest 50.1%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 55.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Port Vale's 10 matches and 1 of Grimsby's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?