Rochdale vs Oldham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Spotland
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.80
Draw
3.70
Away Win
1.92
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Rochdale
Oldham
Daniel Moss (K. Taylor) ⚽
7'
Dajaune Brown (Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko) ⚽
63'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
7
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
1
0
Corner Kicks
6
16
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Rochdale (4-2-3-1)
Nils Ramming
C. Tasker
A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson
D. Moss
H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko
J. Smith
Kane Taylor
G. Middleton
D. Brown
Oldham (4-2-3-1)
M. Hudson
G. Scott-Morriss
D. Daniels
E. Monthe
J. Robson
O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson
F. Fawunmi
Kai Payne
K. Drummond
M. Fondop-Talum
Player Ratings ?
Rochdale
D. MossD8.3
D. BrownF7.7
Kane TaylorM7.5
Oldham
J. RobsonD6.9
O. NorburnM6.8
F. FawunmiM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oldham edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oldham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham arrive at this League Two fixture with a difficult away record of just one draw and four losses from their last five outings, while Rochdale look more stable at home having secured two wins and one draw in that same span. Rochdale have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only managed a solitary clean sheet within that identical sample period. Oldham rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2025, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rochdale losing run
1
Oldham points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 25.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.2%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.3%
−0.3 pts
Oldham win
Latest market chance 48.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.8% → 48.5%
+0.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rochdale
Draw
Oldham
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Rochdale
Oldham
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
14th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.17
0.83
Goals/Game
1.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.17
8.9
Shots/Game
15.0
3.1
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Rochdale at home (5 matches) vs Oldham away (4 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.25
1.60
Goals/Game
0.50
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.75
60%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rochdale
Home form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Oldham
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rochdale Wins
0
Draws
3
Oldham Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2025-03-152024-2025
Oldham1 – 1Rochdale
2025-02-042024-2025
Rochdale0 – 1Oldham
2024-04-062023-2024
Oldham1 – 1Rochdale
2023-10-212023-2024
Rochdale3 – 4Oldham
2022-01-292021-2022
Oldham0 – 0Rochdale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rochdale
vs
Oldham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 53.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 56.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Rochdale's 10 matches and 4 of Oldham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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