Salford vs Fleetwood Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Moor Lane
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.31
Away Win
4.85
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Salford
Fleetwood Town
Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu 🟨
4'
Macaulay Langstaff (Ryan Graydon) ⚽
65'
84'
🟨 Ronan Coughlan
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
1
12
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Salford (5-3-2)
W. Norris
L. Molyneux
W. Aimson
D. Scarr
T. Allen
A. Odoh
B. Woodburn
J. Grant
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
K. N’Mai
M. Langstaff
Fleetwood Town (3-1-4-2)
J. Lynch
S. Rooney
R. Bennett
F. Potter
H. Neal
L. McCann
A. Murphy
M. Helm
Jake Thomas Batty
C. Evans
A. Loupalo-Bi
Player Ratings ?
Salford
M. LangstaffF7.7
R. GraydonF7.0
T. AllenD7.0
Fleetwood Town
W. DaviesF6.8
R. BennettD6.7
J. RobertsonM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Salford edge recent form, attack and defence, Fleetwood Town edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fleetwood Town stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Salford have secured three victories from their last five outings at home, while Fleetwood Town have managed just a single win in five away fixtures. At the ground, Salford have found the net in four of their last five matches and kept two clean sheets during that same span. Salford rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Fleetwood Town rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 29 December 2025, ended level, with 3 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Salford's implied win probability has risen by 6.5 percentage points, while Fleetwood Town's implied win probability has fallen by 4.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Salford
Salford's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Salford win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Salford win
Latest market chance 57.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
50.9% → 57.4%
+6.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.0% → 23.0%
−2.0 pts
Fleetwood Town win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.1% → 19.6%
−4.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Salford
Draw
Fleetwood Town
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SalfordFleetwood Town
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
14th
8
Games Played
8
1.63
Points/Game
1.25
1.50
Goals/Game
1.12
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.12
15.3
Shots/Game
14.4
4.1
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Salford at home (5 matches) vs Fleetwood Town away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.40
80%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Salford
Home form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fleetwood Town
Away form
D
W
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Salford Wins
0
Draws
3
Fleetwood Town Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Salford0 – 0Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town1 – 1Salford
Salford0 – 2Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town2 – 2Salford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Salfordvs
Fleetwood Town
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 57.8%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.5%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Salford's 10 matches and 2 of Fleetwood Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?