Salford vs Newport County Head to Head, Prediction
Peninsula Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.54
Draw
4.31
Away Win
5.62
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Salford
Newport County
14'
🟨 J. Thomas
R. Graydon 🟨
68'
71'
⚽ H. Biggins
79'
🟨 A. Merritt
T. Allen (K. Cesay) ⚽
83'
86'
🟨 C. Norman
K. N'Mai ⚽
90'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Salford edge defence, Newport County edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Newport County stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Newport County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Newport County stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Salford
Salford's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Salford win as more likely than it did 1 day ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Salford win
Latest market chance 61.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
60.3% → 61.4%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.6% → 22.4%
−0.2 pts
Newport County win
Latest market chance 16.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
17.1% → 16.2%
−0.9 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SalfordNewport County
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
11th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
1.33
0.33
Goals/Game
2.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.33
15.3
Shots/Game
10.4
4.1
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Salford at home (5 matches) vs Newport County away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.40
1.00
Goals/Game
0.80
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
80%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Salford
Home form
W
D
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Newport County
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Salford Wins
2
Draws
1
Newport County Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Salford1 – 3Newport County
Newport County0 – 1Salford
Salford1 – 1Newport County
Newport County3 – 1Salford
Newport County0 – 1Salford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Salfordvs
Newport County
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 55.8%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Salford's 10 matches and 7 of Newport County's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?