Salford vs Port Vale Head to Head, Prediction
Peninsula Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.85
Away Win
4.01
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Salford
Port Vale
51'
🟨 Kyle Dempsey
J. Powell (L. Molyneux) ⚽
52'
55'
🟨 Lewis Montsma
Macaulay Langstaff 🟨
64'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
8
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Salford (5-3-2)
W. Norris
L. Molyneux
W. Aimson
A. Oluwo
T. Allen
A. Odoh
K. Cesay
E. Bonds
J. Powell
R. Graydon
M. Langstaff
Port Vale (3-4-2-1)
J. Smith
Kyle John
L. Montsma
C. Hall
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
K. Dempsey
B. Garrity
J. Headley
G. Hall
M. Asamoah
O. Lynch
Player Ratings ?
Salford
Joe PowellM7.6
Adebola OluwoD7.3
Taylor AllenD7.3
Port Vale
Lewis MontsmaD6.9
Connor HallD6.9
Jordan Lawrence-GabrielM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Salford edge recent form and defence, Port Vale edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Port Vale stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Salford remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Salford win
Latest market chance 50.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
49.8% → 50.9%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.7% → 25.9%
−1.8 pts
Port Vale win
Latest market chance 23.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.5% → 23.3%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Salford
Draw
Port Vale
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SalfordPort Vale
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
24th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
0.50
0.75
Goals/Game
0.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
15.3
Shots/Game
11.0
4.1
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Salford at home (5 matches) vs Port Vale away (4 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.25
0.40
Conceded/Game
2.00
80%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Salford
Home form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Port Vale
Away form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Salford Wins
2
Draws
0
Port Vale Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.6
Port Vale2 – 1Salford
Salford0 – 2Port Vale
Salford0 – 1Port Vale
Port Vale0 – 1Salford
Salford1 – 0Port Vale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Salfordvs
Port Vale
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.5%→Latest 50.4%+4.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 53.0%+3.8 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Salford's 10 matches and 6 of Port Vale's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?