Salford vs Swindon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Moor Lane
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.34
Away Win
5.33
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Salford
Swindon
43'
🟨 James Ball
71'
🟨 Ollie Clarke
Joe Powell (Kelly N'Mai) ⚽
77'
87'
🟨 James Debayo
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
21
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
1
12
Corner Kicks
5
5
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Salford (5-3-2)
W. Norris
O. Turton
A. Oluwo
D. Scarr
T. Allen
K. N’Mai
E. Bonds
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
J. Powell
D. Udoh
M. Langstaff
Swindon (4-3-3)
C. Ripley
J. Ball
S. Negru
K. Majekodunmi
D. Butler
A. Munda
J. Thomson
O. Clarke
J. Hungbo
A. Drinan
P. Glatzel
Player Ratings ?
Salford
J. PowellM8.2
A. OluwoD7.2
E. BondsM7.1
Swindon
C. RipleyG7.4
J. ThomsonM6.7
K. MajekodunmiD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Salford
Salford rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Salford a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Swindon arrive with a poor away record of just one draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Salford boast a much more encouraging home form featuring three wins from the same number of matches. At home, Salford have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical run. Salford rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Salford won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 17 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Swindon's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Salford a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Salford losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Swindon points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Salford win
Latest market chance 60.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.8% → 60.2%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 22.2%
+0.1 pts
Swindon win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.1% → 17.6%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Salford
Draw
Swindon
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SalfordSwindon
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
9th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.67
1.17
Goals/Game
1.33
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.67
15.3
Shots/Game
9.1
4.1
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Salford at home (5 matches) vs Swindon away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.20
1.00
Goals/Game
0.00
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.80
80%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Salford
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Swindon
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
0/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Salford Wins
3
Draws
2
Swindon Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.8
Swindon2 – 3Salford
Salford3 – 2Swindon
Swindon2 – 2Salford
Salford2 – 1Swindon
Swindon1 – 1Salford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Salfordvs
Swindon
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.7%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Salford's 10 matches and 4 of Swindon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?