Shrewsbury vs Colchester Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New Meadow
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.41
Draw
3.31
Away Win
2.97
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Shrewsbury
Colchester
Luca Hoole 🟨
10'
19'
⚽ Moses Sesay
Luca Hoole (Tom Sang) ⚽
29'
George Lloyd 🟨
61'
J. Turner-Cook 🟨
89'
Isaac Fletcher ⚽
90+2'
90+5'
⚽ Moses Sesay (Oscar thorn)
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
18
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
4
17
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
T. Anderson
L. Hoole
T. Sang
J. Turner-Cooke
K. Berkoe
Isaac Andrew Fletcher
G. Lloyd
J. Davison
Colchester (4-2-3-1)
T. Lo-Tutala
R. Hunt
J. Tucker
S. Raggett
E. Iandolo
M. Sesay
J. Williams
K. Kouassi
J. Payne
H. Anderson
B. Ihionvien
Player Ratings ?
Shrewsbury
Isaac Andrew FletcherM7.8
T. SangM7.7
L. HooleM7.1
Colchester
M. SesayM9.1
O. ThornF7.7
S. RaggettD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Shrewsbury edge defence, Colchester edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Colchester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Colchester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Colchester stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Shrewsbury have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Colchester have managed just a solitary win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in every one of their recent five matches at this venue yet have also kept a clean sheet on three occasions within that same span. Colchester rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Shrewsbury rate stronger on defence. Colchester won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 7 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Shrewsbury's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Shrewsbury's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Colchester's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Shrewsbury win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 38.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.1% → 38.7%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.3% → 28.9%
−0.4 pts
Colchester win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.6% → 32.4%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Shrewsbury
Draw
Colchester
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ShrewsburyColchester
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
15th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
1.29
0.71
Goals/Game
1.14
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.43
13.2
Shots/Game
12.6
3.8
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Shrewsbury at home (4 matches) vs Colchester away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.25
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Shrewsbury
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Colchester
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Shrewsbury Wins
1
Draws
1
Colchester Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Colchester2 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury0 – 2Colchester
Colchester0 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury4 – 2Colchester
Colchester1 – 0Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Shrewsburyvs
Colchester
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.1%→Latest 47.5%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 53.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Shrewsbury's 10 matches and 3 of Colchester's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?