Shrewsbury vs Exeter Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Croud Meadow
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.28
Draw
3.41
Away Win
3.04
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Shrewsbury edge recent form and attack, Exeter edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Exeter arrive at this League Two fixture with a poor away record, having recorded just one draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Shrewsbury look more settled at home with two wins and two draws from the same sample size. The hosts have been involved in scoring action in all five of their recent matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet twice during that same period. Shrewsbury rate stronger on form and attack, while Exeter rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Exeter won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 8 March 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Shrewsbury's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.2% → 41.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.2%
±0.0 pts
Exeter win
Latest market chance 30.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.6% → 30.6%
±0.0 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ShrewsburyExeter

Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
20th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.56
1.56
Conceded/Game
0.67
13.2
Shots/Game
11.1
3.8
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Shrewsbury at home (4 matches) vs Exeter away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.00
1.50
Goals/Game
0.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Shrewsbury
Home form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Exeter
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Shrewsbury Wins
0
Draws
2
Exeter Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Exeter2 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury0 – 2Exeter
Shrewsbury0 – 3Exeter
Exeter0 – 0Shrewsbury
Exeter0 – 0Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Shrewsburyvs
Exeter

Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.0%→Latest 45.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 50.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Shrewsbury's 10 matches and 1 of Exeter's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?