Tranmere vs Walsall Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Prenton Park
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.54
Draw
3.13
Away Win
2.94
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Tranmere
Walsall
18'
🟨 Sven Sprangler
35'
🟨 James Connolly
Joe Ironside •
35'
B. Faulkner (Will Vaulks) ⚽
73'
82'
🟨 Isaac Moore
90+1'
⚽ Reece Smith (Will Etheridge)
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
21
Total Shots
7
11
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Starting Lineups
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
H. Male
J. Senior
B. Faulkner
N. Smith
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
Z. Okoro
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside
Walsall (4-2-3-1)
J. Ward
E. Ahui
D. Skura
J. Connolly
M. Hancock
Isaac Moore
S. Sprangler
L. Simper
A. Dallas
R. Smith
A. Pressley
Player Ratings ?
Tranmere
W. VaulksM7.6
B. FaulknerD7.4
T. ConlonM7.0
Walsall
J. WardG8.8
R. SmithM7.7
Taione Richard Evumena SodjeF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Walsall edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Walsall slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Walsall have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Tranmere have also managed two victories in their last five home matches. Tranmere have found the net in all of their last five home fixtures, though they have kept just two clean sheets in that same period. Walsall rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Walsall won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 17 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Tranmere's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Tranmere's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Walsall's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Tranmere remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.0% → 37.5%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.4% → 29.6%
−1.8 pts
Walsall win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.6% → 32.9%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tranmere
Draw
Walsall
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TranmereWalsall
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
2nd
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
1.86
1.29
Goals/Game
1.43
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.57
11.2
Shots/Game
14.6
4.3
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Tranmere at home (4 matches) vs Walsall away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tranmere
Home form
L
D
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Walsall
Away form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tranmere Wins
1
Draws
0
Walsall Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.2
Tranmere1 – 3Walsall
Walsall4 – 2Tranmere
Walsall5 – 1Tranmere
Tranmere1 – 0Walsall
Tranmere1 – 3Walsall
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tranmerevs
Walsall
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 49.6%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 55.3%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Tranmere's 10 matches and 3 of Walsall's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?