Walsall vs Port Vale Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bescot Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.48
Draw
3.22
Away Win
2.95
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Walsall
Port Vale
Sven Sprangler 🟨
27'
Elicha Ahui 🟨
40'
James Connolly (Courtney Alphonso Clarke) ⚽
45+5'
James Connolly 🟨
50'
51'
🟨 Kyle Dempsey
84'
🟨 Ben Garrity
Andrew Dallas (Elicha Ahui) ⚽
89'
90+3'
🟨 Jasper·Moon
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
18
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Walsall (4-2-3-1)
J. Ward
E. Ahui
D. Skura
J. Connolly
M. Hancock
Isaac Moore
S. Sprangler
Courtney Clarke
A. Evans
R. Smith
Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
Port Vale (3-5-2)
M. Maroši
K. John
L. Montsma
C. Hall
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
K. Dempsey
G. Byers
B. Garrity
J. Headley
B. Waine
O. Lynch
Player Ratings ?
Walsall
J. ConnollyD8.0
Courtney ClarkeM7.7
A. DallasF7.5
Port Vale
B. WaineF6.7
J. HeadleyM6.6
K. JohnD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Walsall edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Port Vale edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Port Vale slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Port Vale arrives at this League Two fixture with a poor away record of just one win from their last five outings, while Walsall have managed only one victory and two draws in the same number of home matches. The Saddlers have found the net in just one of their last five home games and have kept two clean sheets during that same recent period. Walsall rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Port Vale hold a slight advantage in defence. Port Vale won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 5 April 2025, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Walsall's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Port Vale points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Walsall win
Latest market chance 38.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.5% → 38.2%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 29.3%
+0.6 pts
Port Vale win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.8% → 32.5%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Walsall
Draw
Port Vale
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WalsallPort Vale
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
22nd
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
0.83
1.33
Goals/Game
0.50
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.17
14.6
Shots/Game
11.0
4.0
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Walsall at home (4 matches) vs Port Vale away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.25
Goals/Game
0.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Walsall
Home form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Port Vale
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Walsall Wins
4
Draws
0
Port Vale Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Walsall2 – 3Port Vale
Port Vale0 – 1Walsall
Walsall2 – 0Port Vale
Port Vale0 – 1Walsall
Port Vale1 – 3Walsall
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Walsallvs
Port Vale
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.2%→Latest 48.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Walsall's 10 matches and 4 of Port Vale's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?