Walsall vs Rochdale Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bescot Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.70
Draw
3.84
Away Win
4.78
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Walsall
Rochdale
Charlie Crew 🟨
29'
53'
🟨 Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
77'
🟨 Harvey Gilmour
90+4'
🟨 Glenn Middleton
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
24
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Walsall (4-2-3-1)
J. Ward
E. Ahui
D. Skura
J. Connolly
M. Hancock
C. Crew
S. Sprangler
A. Evans
Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
R. Smith
A. Pressley
Rochdale (4-2-3-1)
Nils Ramming
C. Tasker
A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson
D. Moss
H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko
L. Hannant
D. Brown
Kane Taylor
E. Dieseruvwe
Player Ratings ?
Walsall
M. HancockD7.9
D. SkuraD7.3
S. SpranglerM7.2
Rochdale
Nils RammingG8.1
L. HannantM6.9
Kaiden WilsonD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Walsall edge recent form and attack, Rochdale edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rochdale have struggled on their travels with just two draws from their last five away outings, while Walsall have managed a solitary win in that same span at home. Walsall have scored in two of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet in that period. Walsall rate stronger on form and attack, while Rochdale rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Rochdale won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 7 April 2023, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Walsall's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rochdale losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Rochdale points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Walsall
Walsall's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Walsall win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Walsall win
Latest market chance 54.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
45.4% → 54.8%
+9.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
26.2% → 24.6%
−1.6 pts
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 20.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
28.3% → 20.6%
−7.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Walsall
Draw
Rochdale
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WalsallRochdale
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
22nd
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
0.60
1.60
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.00
14.6
Shots/Game
8.9
4.0
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Walsall at home (4 matches) vs Rochdale away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Walsall
Home form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rochdale
Away form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Walsall Wins
1
Draws
1
Rochdale Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Rochdale4 – 2Walsall
Walsall1 – 0Rochdale
Rochdale1 – 0Walsall
Walsall0 – 0Rochdale
Walsall1 – 2Rochdale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Walsallvs
Rochdale
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 54.5%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 55.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Walsall's 10 matches and 5 of Rochdale's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?