Angers vs Troyes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Raymond Kopa
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.21
Draw
3.51
Away Win
3.36
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Angers
Troyes
35'
🟨 Iron Gomis
Prosper Peter (Amine Sbaï) ⚽
42'
Amine Sbaï (Amine El Ouazzani) ⚽
57'
Jim Allevinah 🟨
63'
Yassine Belkdim 🟨
86'
89'
🟨 Antoine Mille
Ousmane Camara 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
12
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
11
14
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Angers (4-4-2)
Anthony Lopes
C. Arcus
O. Camara
J. Lefort
J. Kalulu
J. Allevinah
Y. Belkhdim
B. van den Boomen
A. Sbaï
A. El Ouazzani
P. Peter
Troyes (4-2-3-1)
P. Beach
Noah Donkor
A. Monfray
M. Diaz
A. Ouzenadji
M. Diop
D. Karim
A. Mille
I. Gomis
T. Nkada
J. Le Douaron
Player Ratings ?
Angers
A. SbaïM9.0
P. PeterF7.8
J. LefortD7.7
Troyes
A. MonfrayD7.0
J. Le DouaronF6.9
M. DiazD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Angers edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Angers slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Angers slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Angers slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Angers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Troyes have secured just one win and a draw from their last five away matches, while Angers remain winless at home with two draws in that same span. Angers have found the net in three of their last five home outings but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Angers face no confirmed absences though one player remains doubtful, whereas Troyes are dealing with five unavailable players. Angers rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack and defence. Angers won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 20 April 2024, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Troyes's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Angers's implied win probability has fallen by 3.8 percentage points, while Troyes's implied win probability has risen by 3.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Angers points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Angers
Angers's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Angers win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Angers win
Latest market chance 43.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
47.3% → 43.5%
−3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.8%
−0.1 pts
Troyes win
Latest market chance 28.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.9% → 28.7%
+3.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Angers
Draw
Troyes
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AngersTroyes
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
12th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.25
15.0
Shots/Game
14.8
3.0
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Angers at home (3 matches) vs Troyes away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Angers
Home form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Troyes
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Angers Wins
4
Draws
0
Troyes Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Angers2 – 1Troyes
Troyes1 – 4Angers
Angers2 – 1Troyes
Troyes3 – 1Angers
Angers2 – 1Troyes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Angersvs
Troyes
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.8%→Latest 49.5%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 53.9%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Angers's 10 matches and 6 of Troyes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?