Auxerre vs Brest Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.99
Draw
3.53
Away Win
2.41
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Auxerre
Brest
23'
⚽ Pathé Mboup (Joris Chotard)
Cameron Archer (Danny Namaso) ⚽
47'
Christ Makosso 🟨
73'
82'
🟨 Kenny Lala
Raphaël Le Guen ⚽ (OG)
83'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
3
19
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Auxerre (3-4-3)
M. Diop
C. Makosso
A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa
L. Sy
A. Piedfort
K. Danois
F. Oppegård
D. Namaso
C. Archer
R. Labeau Lascary
Brest (4-2-3-1)
E. Selvik
K. Lala
R. Le Guen
G. Lloris
B. Locko
J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
G. Versini
K. Doumbia
P. Mboup
L. Ajorque
Player Ratings ?
Auxerre
C. ArcherF7.9
D. NamasoF7.4
N. AhamadaM7.1
Brest
P. MboupM7.3
G. LlorisD7.3
J. ChotardM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Auxerre edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Auxerre have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Brest have recorded just one win in their corresponding away sample of five matches. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures and have kept two clean sheets during that same span. Four players are unavailable for Auxerre, while Brest also face the absence of four individuals from their match-day squad. Auxerre rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Auxerre won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 21 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Brest's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Auxerre's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points, while Brest's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Brest
Brest's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Brest win as more likely than it did 9 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Auxerre win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.7% → 31.8%
−2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.6%
−0.1 pts
Brest win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.6% → 40.7%
+3.1 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AuxerreBrest
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
9th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
1.25
1.25
Goals/Game
1.50
2.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.0
Shots/Game
19.0
5.0
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Auxerre at home (3 matches) vs Brest away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Auxerre
Home form
D
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brest
Away form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Auxerre Wins
2
Draws
1
Brest Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Auxerre3 – 0Brest
Brest2 – 0Auxerre
Brest2 – 2Auxerre
Auxerre3 – 0Brest
Brest1 – 0Auxerre
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Auxerrevs
Brest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 53.0%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.2%→Latest 57.7%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Auxerre's 10 matches and 6 of Brest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?