Auxerre vs Nice Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.61
Draw
3.44
Away Win
2.79
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Auxerre
Nice
Kevin Danois 🟨
44'
74'
🟨 Djibril Coulibaly
Cameron Archer (Christ Makosso) ⚽
74'
Match Statistics ?
32%
Ball Possession
68%
11
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
8
9
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Auxerre (3-4-3)
M. Diop
C. Makosso
A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa
L. Sy
A. Piedfort
K. Danois
F. Oppegård
D. Namaso
C. Archer
R. Labeau Lascary
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Y. Diouf
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Y. Ndayishimiye
X. Mandza Tsiendi
J. Clauss
D. Coulibaly
A. Witsel
N. Nkounkou
G. Hein
E. Wahi
M. Amoura
Player Ratings ?
Auxerre
C. MakossoD7.6
C. ArcherF7.4
A. TuanzebeD7.2
Nice
X. Mandza TsiendiD7.2
Y. NdayishimiyeD7.2
A. WitselM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Auxerre edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Nice edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nice stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nice have struggled away from home recently, recording just two draws and three losses in their last five outings, whereas Auxerre look much more comfortable at this venue with three wins and only a single defeat in that same span. Auxerre have been involved in four of their last five home matches in terms of scoring, though they have also kept two clean sheets within that identical recent sample at this ground. Auxerre rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Nice rate stronger on defence. Auxerre won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Nice's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Auxerre's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Nice's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Auxerre losing run
2
Nice points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Nice
Nice's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nice win as more likely than it did 9 days ago. Auxerre remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Auxerre win
Latest market chance 36.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
38.3% → 36.6%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
29.5% → 28.7%
−0.8 pts
Nice win
Latest market chance 34.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.1% → 34.7%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Auxerre
Draw
Nice
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AuxerreNice
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
15th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
0.67
1.33
Goals/Game
0.33
3.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
12.0
Shots/Game
11.8
5.0
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Auxerre at home (3 matches) vs Nice away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.33
Goals/Game
0.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Auxerre
Home form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nice
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Auxerre Wins
2
Draws
2
Nice Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Auxerre2 – 1Nice
Nice3 – 1Auxerre
Nice1 – 1Auxerre
Auxerre2 – 1Nice
Nice1 – 1Auxerre
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Auxerrevs
Nice
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.3%→Latest 49.2%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 54.7%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Auxerre's 10 matches and 7 of Nice's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?