Le Havre vs Brest Head to Head, Prediction
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.64
Draw
3.35
Away Win
2.81
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Le Havre
Brest
Lionel Mpasi Nzau 🟨
10'
12'
⚽ (P) K. Doumbia
39'
🟨 Kamory Doumbia
Junior Mwanga 🟥
45+2'
51'
⚽ K. Doumbia (M. Balde)
R. Fofana ⚽ (P)
79'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
18
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Goal
9
5
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Le Havre (3-4-2-1)
L. Mpasi-Nzau
A. Seko
J. Mwanga
A. Touba
E. Jelert
S. Ebonog
A. Richardson
T. Pembele
R. Ndiaye
A. Samatta
J. Maja
Brest (4-2-3-1)
E. Selvik
K. Lala
R. Le Guen
G. Lloris
B. Locko
J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
M. Balde
K. Doumbia
P. Mboup
L. Ajorque
Player Ratings ?
Le Havre
Lionel Mpasi NzauG7.6
Ahmed ToubaD7.6
Enzo KoffiF7.6
Brest
Kamory DoumbiaM8.3
Ludovic AjorqueF7.3
Raphaël Le GuenD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Le Havre edge recent form and defence, Brest edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brest stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Le Havre win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.5% → 35.9%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 29.2%
+0.2 pts
Brest win
Latest market chance 34.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.4% → 34.9%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Le Havre
Draw
Brest
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Le HavreBrest
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
11th
2
Games Played
2
0.50
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.6
Shots/Game
19.0
5.0
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Le Havre at home (3 matches) vs Brest away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.33
0.33
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Le Havre
Home form
D
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brest
Away form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Le Havre Wins
1
Draws
0
Brest Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.4
Brest2 – 0Le Havre
Le Havre1 – 0Brest
Le Havre0 – 1Brest
Brest2 – 0Le Havre
Brest1 – 0Le Havre
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Le Havrevs
Brest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.30
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.2%→Latest 45.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 51.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
8 of Le Havre's 10 matches and 8 of Brest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?