Le Mans vs Toulouse Head to Head, Prediction
MMArena
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.12
Draw
3.44
Away Win
2.28
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Toulouse edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Toulouse stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Toulouse stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Le Mans win
Latest market chance 30.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.5% → 30.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.5%
±0.0 pts
Toulouse win
Latest market chance 42.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.0% → 42.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Le Mans
Draw
Toulouse
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Le MansToulouse
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
13th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
1.00
1.80
Goals/Game
1.40
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.80
10.4
Shots/Game
14.8
5.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Le Mans at home (3 matches) vs Toulouse away (2 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Le Mans
Home form
L
W
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Toulouse
Away form
L
W
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Le Mans Wins
0
Draws
1
Toulouse Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.6
Le Mans1 – 3Toulouse
Toulouse2 – 0Le Mans
Toulouse2 – 0Le Mans
Le Mans1 – 2Toulouse
Toulouse1 – 1Le Mans
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Le Mansvs
Toulouse
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Le Mans's 10 matches and 5 of Toulouse's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?