Lens vs Lorient Head to Head, Prediction
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.49
Draw
4.72
Away Win
6.50
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Lens
Lorient
14'
🟨 Nathaniel Adjei
Yassine Titraoui 🟨
26'
54'
⚽ M. Kone (P. Katseris)
Michał Skóraś 🟨
77'
Souleymane Sagnan 🟨
85'
Souleymane Sagnan 🟨
90+2'
Souleymane Sagnan 🟥
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
0
18
Fouls
6
4
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Lens (3-4-2-1)
R. Risser
K. Antonio
I. Ganiou
M. Udol
R. Aguilar
A. Haidara
Y. Titraoui
M. Skoras
F. Thauvin
T. Hazard
A. Sima
Lorient (3-4-2-1)
Y. Mvogo
D. Sylla
M. Talbi
N. Adjei
P. Katseris
N. Cadiou
N. Mbamba
A. Kouassi
G. Bernardeau
J. Makengo
M. Kone
Player Ratings ?
Lens
Ismaelo GaniouD7.7
Yassine TitraouiM7.0
Florian ThauvinF7.0
Lorient
Yvon MvogoG8.2
Nathaniel AdjeiD8.0
Montassar TalbiD7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lens
Lens rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Lorient edge defence, giving Lens a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lorient slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lens stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lens win
Latest market chance 64.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
65.1% → 64.4%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.4% → 21.1%
+0.7 pts
Lorient win
Latest market chance 14.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.5% → 14.5%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lens
Draw
Lorient
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LensLorient
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
15th
2
Games Played
2
1.50
Points/Game
0.50
3.00
Goals/Game
0.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.8
Shots/Game
10.4
6.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Lens at home (2 matches) vs Lorient away (3 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.33
2.50
Goals/Game
0.67
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.67
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lens
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lorient
Away form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lens Wins
3
Draws
1
Lorient Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Lorient2 – 1Lens
Lens3 – 0Lorient
Lens2 – 0Lorient
Lorient0 – 0Lens
Lorient1 – 3Lens
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lensvs
Lorient
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 53.3%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Lens's 10 matches and 8 of Lorient's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?