Lille vs Brest Head to Head, Prediction
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.58
Draw
4.21
Away Win
5.42
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lille
Lille rate stronger in recent form and defence; Brest edge head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Lille a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lille stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Lille stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brest slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lille win
Latest market chance 58.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.5% → 58.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.9% → 22.9%
±0.0 pts
Brest win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.6% → 18.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lille
Draw
Brest
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LilleBrest
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
11th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.60
Goals/Game
1.40
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.60
12.8
Shots/Game
19.0
6.4
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Lille at home (2 matches) vs Brest away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
2.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lille
Home form
D
D
L
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brest
Away form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lille Wins
1
Draws
3
Brest Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Lille1 – 1Brest
Brest3 – 3Lille
Brest2 – 0Lille
Lille3 – 1Brest
Brest1 – 1Lille
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lillevs
Brest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.90
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 56.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 55.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Lille's 10 matches and 5 of Brest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?