Lyon vs Auxerre Head to Head, Prediction
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.53
Draw
4.51
Away Win
6.10
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Lyon
Auxerre
26'
🟨 Arthur Piedfort
Felix Bacher (Ernest Nuamah) ⚽
28'
Zachary Athekame (Loïs Openda) ⚽
31'
42'
⚽ Cameron Archer
Ernest Nuamah (Pavel Šulc) ⚽
53'
Felix Bacher 🟨
62'
68'
🟨 Rayan Mandengue
Tyler Morton 🟨
77'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
21
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
3
9
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Lyon (4-3-3)
D. Greif
Z. Athekame
F. Bacher
M. Niakhaté
Abner
M. Bidstrup
T. Morton
C. Tolisso
E. Nuamah
P. Šulc
L. Openda
Auxerre (4-2-3-1)
M. Diop
L. Sy
C. Makosso
E. Legros
C. Akpa
K. Danois
A. Piedfort
D. Namaso
N. Ahamada
R. Labeau Lascary
C. Archer
Player Ratings ?
Lyon
E. NuamahF8.1
Z. AthekameD7.6
L. OpendaF7.3
Auxerre
C. ArcherF7.4
M. DiopG6.7
C. MakossoD6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Lyon edge defence and head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Lyon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lyon stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Lyon
Lyon's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Lyon win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lyon win
Latest market chance 62.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
61.4% → 62.2%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 21.9%
−0.2 pts
Auxerre win
Latest market chance 15.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.4% → 15.8%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lyon
Draw
Auxerre
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LyonAuxerre
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
18th
2
Games Played
2
2.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
4.00
13.6
Shots/Game
12.0
5.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Lyon at home (3 matches) vs Auxerre away (2 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.00
2.67
Goals/Game
1.50
0.67
Conceded/Game
4.00
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lyon
Home form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Auxerre
Away form
D
D
L
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lyon Wins
2
Draws
2
Auxerre Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Lyon3 – 2Auxerre
Auxerre0 – 0Lyon
Auxerre1 – 3Lyon
Lyon2 – 2Auxerre
Auxerre2 – 1Lyon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lyonvs
Auxerre
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 56.6%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 53.3%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
8 of Lyon's 10 matches and 8 of Auxerre's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?