Marseille vs Paris FC Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
4.01
Away Win
4.21
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Marseille
Paris FC
1'
⚽ L. Sinayoko (L. Koleosho)
A. Gouiri ⚽
8'
19'
⚽ L. Sinayoko (P. Pagis)
A. Gouiri (A. Harit) ⚽
53'
65'
🟨 Rudy Matondo
86'
⚽ (P) L. Sinayoko
87'
🟨 Lassine Sinayoko
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Marseille (4-1-4-1)
J. De Lange
T. Weah
C. Egan-Riley
N. Aguerd
Emerson
P. Hojbjerg
A. Harit
H. Abdelli
A. Gomes
I. Paixao
A. Gouiri
Paris FC (3-4-2-1)
K. Trapp
S. Chergui
D. Coppola
H. Traore
A. Camara
M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou
L. Koleosho
I. Kebbal
P. Pagis
L. Sinayoko
Player Ratings ?
Marseille
A. GouiriF8.5
A. HaritM7.6
P. HøjbjergM6.8
Paris FC
L. SinayokoF9.2
P. PagisF7.7
L. KoleoshoM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Marseille edge attack and head-to-head, Paris FC edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Marseille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Marseille win
Latest market chance 53.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.6% → 53.4%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.0% → 24.2%
+0.2 pts
Paris FC win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.3% → 22.4%
+0.1 pts
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MarseilleParis FC
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
5th
2
Games Played
2
1.50
Points/Game
2.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
13.2
Shots/Game
13.2
4.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Marseille at home (3 matches) vs Paris FC away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.33
Goals/Game
1.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Marseille
Home form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Paris FC
Away form
D
D
W
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Marseille Wins
1
Draws
1
Paris FC Wins
0
Avg Goals
5.5
Paris FC2 – 2Marseille
Marseille5 – 2Paris FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Marseillevs
Paris FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 57.6%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 58.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Marseille's 10 matches and 8 of Paris FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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