Nice vs Strasbourg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allianz Riviera
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.66
Away Win
2.95
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nice edge defence, Strasbourg edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nice stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Strasbourg have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Nice remain unbeaten at home with four draws in that same span. Nice have scored in three of their last five home matches and kept two clean sheets during the same period. Strasbourg rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Nice rate stronger on defence. Strasbourg won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 4 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Nice's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 23-day comparison window, Nice's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Strasbourg's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Nice
No current absences reported
Strasbourg
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Strasbourg
Strasbourg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Strasbourg win as more likely than it did 23 days ago. Nice remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nice win
Latest market chance 41.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.9% → 41.4%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 26.4%
−0.4 pts
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 32.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
30.3% → 32.2%
+1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nice
Draw
Strasbourg
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 23 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NiceStrasbourg
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
1.40
0.60
Goals/Game
2.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.8
Shots/Game
11.6
3.0
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Nice at home (3 matches) vs Strasbourg away (3 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nice
Home form
D
D
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Strasbourg
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nice Wins
2
Draws
2
Strasbourg Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Strasbourg3 – 1Nice
Nice1 – 1Strasbourg
Strasbourg2 – 2Nice
Nice2 – 1Strasbourg
Strasbourg1 – 3Nice
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nicevs
Strasbourg
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.00
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 55.8%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 59.1%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Nice's 10 matches and 5 of Strasbourg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?