Paris FC vs Lyon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Jean Bouin
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.62
Draw
3.67
Away Win
2.64
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Paris FC
Lyon
63'
🟨 Loïs Openda
Diego Coppola 🟨
69'
Hamari Traore 🟨
77'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
6
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
3
19
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Paris FC (3-4-2-1)
K. Trapp
S. Chergui
D. Coppola
H. Traoré
A. Camara
M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou
L. Koleosho
I. Kebbal
P. Pagis
L. Sinayoko
Lyon (4-2-3-1)
D. Greif
Z. Athekame
F. Bacher
M. Niakhaté
Abner
M. Bidstrup
T. Morton
E. Nuamah
P. Šulc
C. Tolisso
L. Openda
Player Ratings ?
Paris FC
M. LopezM7.2
K. TrappG7.1
A. CamaraM6.9
Lyon
D. GreifG8.3
F. BacherD7.2
Z. AthekameD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris FC edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Paris FC enter this Ligue 1 fixture at home with an impressive record of four wins from their last five outings, while Lyon have found more difficulty away from home with just two victories in that same span. The hosts have been involved in scoring action in four of their last five matches at this venue, though they have also kept two clean sheets within that identical sample period. Paris FC rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 9-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Paris FC
Paris FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Paris FC win as more likely than it did 9 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paris FC win
Latest market chance 36.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
35.7% → 36.8%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.5%
−0.2 pts
Lyon win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
37.6% → 36.7%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Paris FC
Draw
Lyon
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Paris FCLyon

Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
3rd
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
2.33
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.67
13.2
Shots/Game
13.6
4.6
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Paris FC at home (3 matches) vs Lyon away (2 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.33
Conceded/Game
0.00
67%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Paris FC
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Lyon
Away form
D
D
W
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paris FC Wins
0
Draws
2
Lyon Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.0
Lyon1 – 1Paris FC
Paris FC3 – 3Lyon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paris FCvs
Lyon

Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 59.1%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Paris FC's 10 matches and 7 of Lyon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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