Paris SG vs Monaco Head to Head, Prediction
Parc des Princes
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 20:05 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.35
Draw
5.88
Away Win
8.08
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Paris SG
Monaco
Marcos Aoás Corrêa (Khvicha Kvaratskhelia) ⚽
31'
58'
⚽ Flavio Nazinho (Jordan Teze)
Lucas Hernández 🟨
68'
68'
🟨 Jordan Teze
72'
⚽ Stanis Idumbo (Aleksandr Golovin)
Match Statistics ?
68%
Ball Possession
32%
23
Total Shots
4
10
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
0
9
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
9
Starting Lineups
Paris SG (4-3-3)
M. Safonov
A. Hakimi
Marquinhos
W. Pacho
W. Zaïre-Emery
João Neves
Vitinha
Fabián Ruiz
D. Doué
M. Akliouche
K. Kvaratskhelia
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
L. Hrádecký
Vanderson
Sadibou Sané
E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho
L. Camara
D. Zakaria
M. Coulibaly
A. Golovin
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
Paris Josua Brunner
Player Ratings ?
Paris SG
MarquinhosD7.8
K. KvaratskheliaF7.7
VitinhaM7.2
Monaco
L. HrádeckýG8.8
S. Idumbo-MuzamboM7.7
Flávio NazinhoD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris SG edge defence, Monaco edge head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Monaco stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Paris SG
Paris SG's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Paris SG win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paris SG win
Latest market chance 70.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
67.7% → 70.7%
+3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.8% → 16.8%
−2.0 pts
Monaco win
Latest market chance 12.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
13.5% → 12.5%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Paris SG
Draw
Monaco
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Paris SGMonaco
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
2nd
2
Games Played
2
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
21.2
Shots/Game
10.2
7.2
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Paris SG at home (1 match) vs Monaco away (3 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
2.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Paris SG
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Monaco
Away form
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paris SG Wins
2
Draws
1
Monaco Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Paris SG1 – 3Monaco
Monaco1 – 0Paris SG
Paris SG4 – 1Monaco
Monaco2 – 4Paris SG
Monaco0 – 0Paris SG
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paris SGvs
Monaco
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.8%→Latest 70.2%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.6%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
8 of Paris SG's 10 matches and 8 of Monaco's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?