Strasbourg vs Monaco Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade de la Meinau
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.26
Draw
3.82
Away Win
2.15
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Strasbourg
Monaco
Sadibou Sane ⚽ (OG)
52'
71'
⚽ Paris Brunner (Lamine Camara)
Pape Demba Diop 🟨
78'
90'
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Strasbourg (4-3-3)
F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi
J. Mitchell
I. Doukouré
Oso
Gessime Yassine
P. Diop
G. Reyna
Diogo Sousa
J. Ortega
S. Nanasi
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
L. Hrádecký
Vanderson
Sadibou Sané
E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho
L. Camara
D. Zakaria
A. Soubeir
A. Golovin
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
Paris Josua Brunner
Player Ratings ?
Strasbourg
P. DiopM7.0
S. Amo-AmeyawF6.9
J. MitchellD6.8
Monaco
Paris Josua BrunnerF8.2
L. CamaraM7.7
E. DierD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Strasbourg edge recent form and attack, Monaco edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Strasbourg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Monaco slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Monaco stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Monaco have secured three victories in their last five away fixtures across various campaigns, while Strasbourg have won three of their last five home matches during that same span. Strasbourg have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same five outings. Strasbourg rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Monaco rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Strasbourg won the most recent meeting 5-4 on 17 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Monaco's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 9-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Strasbourg
Strasbourg's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Strasbourg win as less likely than it did 9 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Monaco remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
30.6% → 29.7%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.4%
±0.0 pts
Monaco win
Latest market chance 44.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
44.0% → 44.9%
+0.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
8 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 3Sep 4Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Strasbourg
Draw
Monaco
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Strasbourg
Monaco
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
2nd
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.67
Goals/Game
1.67
2.33
Conceded/Game
0.33
11.6
Shots/Game
10.2
4.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Strasbourg at home (2 matches) vs Monaco away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.33
1.50
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
50%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Strasbourg
Home form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Monaco
Away form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Strasbourg Wins
1
Draws
1
Monaco Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
2026-05-172025-2026
Strasbourg5 – 4Monaco
2025-08-312025-2026
Monaco3 – 2Strasbourg
2025-04-192024-2025
Monaco0 – 0Strasbourg
2024-11-092024-2025
Strasbourg1 – 3Monaco
2024-03-102023-2024
Strasbourg0 – 1Monaco
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Strasbourg
vs
Monaco
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 60.2%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 3Sep 4Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 9 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 62.5%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 3Sep 4Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 9 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Strasbourg's 10 matches and 7 of Monaco's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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