Troyes vs Lens Head to Head, Prediction
Stade de l'Aube
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.00
Draw
3.98
Away Win
1.81
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lens
Lens rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Lens an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lens stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Troyes win
Latest market chance 23.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.1% → 23.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.3%
±0.0 pts
Lens win
Latest market chance 52.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.6% → 52.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Troyes
Draw
Lens
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TroyesLens
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
15th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
0.80
0.80
Goals/Game
1.80
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.80
14.8
Shots/Game
14.8
2.8
Shots on Target
6.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Troyes at home (2 matches) vs Lens away (3 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Troyes
Home form
L
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lens
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Troyes Wins
0
Draws
1
Lens Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Troyes1 – 1Lens
Lens1 – 0Troyes
Troyes1 – 3Lens
Lens4 – 0Troyes
Lens1 – 0Troyes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Troyesvs
Lens
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 60.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.6%→Latest 60.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Troyes's 10 matches and 5 of Lens's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?