Clermont vs Red Star Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.56
Draw
3.34
Away Win
2.10
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Clermont edge defence, Red Star edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Red Star have enjoyed a remarkable run with four wins and just one draw from their last five away outings, while Clermont remain unbeaten at home with only a single victory in that same span. Clermont have found the net in two of their last five home matches but have kept four clean sheets during that period. Red Star rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Clermont rate stronger on defence. Red Star won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 20 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Clermont's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 7-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 7 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Clermont win
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.6%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.3%
±0.0 pts
Red Star win
Latest market chance 45.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.0% → 45.1%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Clermont
Draw
Red Star
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ClermontRed Star
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
2nd
7
Games Played
7
0.86
Points/Game
2.00
0.57
Goals/Game
1.29
0.86
Conceded/Game
1.00
7.7
Shots/Game
15.7
2.4
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Clermont at home (4 matches) vs Red Star away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.50
0.25
Goals/Game
1.75
0.25
Conceded/Game
0.75
0%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Clermont
Home form
W
D
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Red Star
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Clermont Wins
1
Draws
3
Red Star Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Clermont0 – 1Red Star
Red Star2 – 2Clermont
Red Star1 – 1Clermont
Clermont1 – 1Red Star
Red Star0 – 4Clermont
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Clermontvs
Red Star
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.10
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.6%→Latest 45.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 50.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Clermont's 10 matches and 3 of Red Star's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?