Guingamp vs Annecy Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de Roudourou
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.29
Draw
3.31
Away Win
3.33
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Guingamp
Annecy
13'
⚽ Thibault Rambaud (Paul Venot)
Donacien Gomis 🟨
18'
28'
🟨 Thibault Delphis
35'
🟨 Thibault Rambaud
Tanguy Ahile (Donacien Gomis) ⚽
62'
Brandon Bokangu ⚽
66'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Adrián Ortolá
E. Koffi
D. Gomis
A. Demouchy
T. Ollila
T. Averlant
T. Ducrocq
D. Louiserre
S. Ben Brahim
T. Ahile
S. Kielt
Annecy (4-3-3)
F. Escales
T. Delphis
M. Veillon
A. Do Marcolino
J. Kouadio
P. Venot
A. Kashi
C. Billemaz
K. Young
T. Rambaud
Z. Redmond
Player Ratings ?
Guingamp
T. AhileF8.2
B. BokanguM7.5
A. DemouchyD7.4
Annecy
T. RambaudF7.4
F. EscalesG6.9
A. KashiM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Annecy
Annecy rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Annecy an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Annecy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Annecy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Annecy stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Annecy stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Annecy arrive at Guingamp with an impressive run of four wins from their last five away fixtures, while the hosts have struggled for consistency at home with just a solitary victory in that same span. Guingamp have managed to find the net in three of their last five home matches, yet they have only kept a single clean sheet during that identical period. Annecy rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Annecy won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 3 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Guingamp's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Annecy.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Guingamp win
Latest market chance 42.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.7% → 42.2%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.8%
+0.5 pts
Annecy win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 29.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Guingamp
Draw
Annecy
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GuingampAnnecy
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.40
Goals/Game
1.40
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.3
Shots/Game
11.1
5.7
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Guingamp at home (4 matches) vs Annecy away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Guingamp
Home form
L
D
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Annecy
Away form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Guingamp Wins
1
Draws
1
Annecy Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.6
Annecy1 – 0Guingamp
Guingamp0 – 3Annecy
Annecy1 – 4Guingamp
Guingamp2 – 2Annecy
Guingamp1 – 4Annecy
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Guingampvs
Annecy
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 49.7%−2.4 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 55.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Guingamp's 10 matches and 5 of Annecy's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?