Metz vs Rodez Head to Head, Prediction
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.99
Draw
3.69
Away Win
3.66
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Metz
Rodez
P. M. Fall (F. Miguel) ⚽
8'
Jean Ruiz 🟨
24'
35'
⚽ C. Issanchou (K. Nagera)
J. Deminguet (T. Savanier) ⚽
39'
P. M. Fall ⚽
42'
P. M. Fall (J. Deminguet) ⚽
58'
Giorgi Abuashvili 🟨
62'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
19
Total Shots
19
8
Shots on Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
7
11
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Metz (4-2-3-1)
J. Fischer
B. Sarr
C. Devenish
J. Ruiz
F. Miguel
J. Deminguet
B. Munongo
G. Abuashvili
T. Savanier
J. Pandore
P. M. Fall
Rodez (5-3-2)
L. Margueron
C. Issanchou
L. Laurent
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
E. Jean-Lambert
J. Mendes
D. Pavlovic
O. Joly
K. Nagera
M. Touho
Player Ratings ?
Metz
Jessy DeminguetM9.2
Pape Moussa FallF8.7
Teji SavanierM8.3
Rodez
Raphaël LipinskiD7.2
Evan’s Jean-LambertD7.0
Loni LaurentD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Metz edge head-to-head, Rodez edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Rodez slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Metz stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Metz
Metz's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Metz win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Metz win
Latest market chance 47.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.8% → 47.8%
+3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.2% → 26.2%
−1.0 pts
Rodez win
Latest market chance 26.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.0% → 26.0%
−2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Metz
Draw
Rodez
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MetzRodez
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
6th
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
1.75
1.00
Goals/Game
2.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
13.6
Shots/Game
15.4
4.0
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Metz at home (4 matches) vs Rodez away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
2.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.67
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Metz
Home form
W
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rodez
Away form
D
D
W
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Metz Wins
2
Draws
2
Rodez Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.2
Metz3 – 3Rodez
Rodez1 – 3Metz
Metz1 – 1Rodez
Rodez1 – 4Metz
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Metzvs
Rodez
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 55.0%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Metz's 10 matches and 6 of Rodez's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?