Montpellier vs Grenoble Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Stade de la Mosson
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.62
Draw
3.83
Away Win
5.48
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Montpellier edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montpellier slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Grenoble have secured three wins from their last five away outings, whereas Montpellier recorded two victories and a single defeat in their home fixtures over the same span. Montpellier have found the net in four of their last five home matches while keeping two clean sheets during that identical period. Montpellier rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. Montpellier won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Grenoble's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montpellier win
Latest market chance 57.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.4% → 57.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 24.9%
±0.0 pts
Grenoble win
Latest market chance 17.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.7% → 17.7%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Montpellier
Draw
Grenoble
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Montpellier
Grenoble
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
1.14
0.86
Goals/Game
1.14
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.57
13.0
Shots/Game
7.4
4.6
Shots on Target
2.0
Home vs Away Context
Montpellier at home (3 matches) vs Grenoble away (4 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.50
0.67
Goals/Game
1.50
0.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Montpellier
Home form
W
L
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Grenoble
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montpellier Wins
3
Draws
1
Grenoble Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-04-172025-2026
Montpellier2 – 1Grenoble
2025-12-132025-2026
Grenoble1 – 1Montpellier
2010-02-132009-2010
Montpellier1 – 0Grenoble
2009-10-032009-2010
Grenoble2 – 3Montpellier
2008-04-182007-2008
Montpellier0 – 1Grenoble
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montpellier
vs
Grenoble
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
70.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
46.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
26.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.4%→Latest 47.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Montpellier's 10 matches and 3 of Grenoble's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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