Nantes vs Nancy Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade de la Beaujoire
Mon 07 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.87
Draw
3.59
Away Win
4.11
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Nantes
Nancy
Frédéric Guilbert 🟨
12'
Grégory Poirier 🟨
20'
32'
🟥 Elydjah Mendy
32'
🟨 Kouroufia Kebe
38'
🟨 Pape Meissa Ba
Thomas Robinet (Ryad Hachem) ⚽
46'
Wilitty Younoussa 🟨
50'
64'
🟨 Mamadou Fofana
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
5
2
Shots on Goal
0
4
Corner Kicks
1
15
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Nantes (4-1-4-1)
M. Dupé
F. Guilbert
L. Perrin
S. Sow
K. Amian
J. Lepenant
D. Assoumani
R. Hachem
W. Younoussa
M. Cafaro
T. Robinet
Nancy (4-4-2)
E. Basilio
E. Tacafred
Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy
N. Fernandez-Veliz
N. Kandil
K. Kebe
W. Bouabdelli
Z. Fdaouch
I. Housni
P. Meïssa Ba
Player Ratings ?
Nantes
T. RobinetF7.9
R. HachemM7.7
L. PerrinD7.7
Nancy
N. Fernandez-VelizD6.8
I. HousniF6.7
K. KebeM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Nancy stronger
Nancy rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Nancy stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nantes win
Latest market chance 49.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.8% → 49.6%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.8%
+0.3 pts
Nancy win
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.7% → 23.7%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nantes
Draw
Nancy
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nantes
Nancy
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
7th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
1.75
1.50
Goals/Game
0.75
2.75
Conceded/Game
0.25
14.0
Shots/Game
14.7
3.4
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Nantes at home (3 matches) vs Nancy away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.75
1.00
Goals/Game
1.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nantes
Home form
D
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Nancy
Away form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nantes Wins
1
Draws
1
Nancy Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
2017-02-052016-2017
Nantes0 – 2Nancy
2016-09-172016-2017
Nancy1 – 1Nantes
2009-04-262008-2009
Nancy2 – 0Nantes
2008-11-232008-2009
Nantes0 – 1Nancy
2007-03-102006-2007
Nantes2 – 1Nancy
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nantes
vs
Nancy
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
53.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 50.7%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 54.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Nantes's 10 matches and 6 of Nancy's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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