Pau FC vs Dunkerque Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nouste Camp
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.40
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.00
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Pau FC
Dunkerque
11'
🟥 Victor Mayela
Anthony Briançon 🟨
16'
Abdel Hakim Abdallah 🟨
32'
Jessy Benet ⚽ (P)
49'
52'
🟨 Bram Lagae
63'
🟨 Albert Sánchez Saura
81'
🟨 Enzo Mayilla
Abdoulaye Mbaye (Lorenzo Rajot) ⚽
88'
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
22
Total Shots
7
10
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
16
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
4
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Pau FC (5-3-2)
B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez
A. Briançon
A. Bamba
A. Abdallah
C. Fall
J. Benet
J. Sebas
B. Leye
T. Saettel
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Moha Airam
A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté
V. Mayela
L. Vallier
J. Morel
Théna Massock
K. Ayari
S. Keita
E. Prutsev
G. Robail
Player Ratings ?
Pau FC
G. PaquiezD7.9
J. BenetM7.8
A. BriançonD7.7
Dunkerque
Moha AiramG7.4
J. MorelM6.7
L. VallierD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pau FC edge defence, Dunkerque edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dunkerque stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dunkerque stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Pau FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dunkerque stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides arrive with identical recent records, as Pau FC have secured just one win and one draw from their last five home outings while Dunkerque have managed a single victory and a draw in the same number of away fixtures. Pau FC have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sample, conceding in every one of those five encounters. Dunkerque rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Pau FC hold a slight advantage in defence. Dunkerque won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 16 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Pau FC's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Pau FC's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points, while Dunkerque's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Pau FC
Pau FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Pau FC win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pau FC win
Latest market chance 43.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
39.0% → 43.1%
+4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 27.4%
−0.7 pts
Dunkerque win
Latest market chance 29.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
32.9% → 29.5%
−3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Pau FC
Draw
Dunkerque
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Pau FCDunkerque
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.9
Shots/Game
11.9
4.0
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Pau FC at home (4 matches) vs Dunkerque away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.33
0.75
Goals/Game
1.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.33
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pau FC
Home form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dunkerque
Away form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pau FC Wins
0
Draws
1
Dunkerque Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.0
Dunkerque3 – 1Pau FC
Pau FC0 – 3Dunkerque
Pau FC1 – 1Dunkerque
Dunkerque3 – 2Pau FC
Dunkerque1 – 0Pau FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pau FCvs
Dunkerque
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.0%→Latest 53.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.0%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Pau FC's 10 matches and 4 of Dunkerque's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?