Rodez vs Grenoble Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade Paul-Lignon
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
3.69
Away Win
4.98
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Rodez
Grenoble
11'
⚽ Matthéo Xantippe (Baptiste Mouazan)
42'
🟨 Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
45+3'
🟨 Clement Vidal
75'
🟨 Samba Lele Diba
87'
🟨 Yvann Macon
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
22
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Goal
1
10
Corner Kicks
1
20
Fouls
17
0
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Rodez (5-3-2)
L. Margueron
C. Roubiou
L. Quenabio
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
R. Ponti
J. Mendes
D. Pavlović
Antonin Cartillier
K. Nagera
K. Nsona
Grenoble (4-1-4-1)
A. Olliero
N. Zahui
A. Pelon
C. Vidal
M. Xantippe
Y. Magnin
J. Akpa Akpro
S. Diba
L. Bernadou
B. Mouazan
U. Bonnet
Player Ratings ?
Rodez
L. QuenabioD7.3
R. LipinskiD7.3
M. MagninD7.0
Grenoble
M. XantippeD7.8
A. OllieroG7.7
B. MouazanM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Rodez
Rodez rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Rodez a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rodez slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rodez slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rodez have enjoyed a perfect home record with four wins and just a single draw in their last five outings, while Grenoble have struggled away from home, recording only two victories and three defeats across the same span. At home, Rodez have scored in every one of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Rodez rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence and head-to-head. Rodez won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 6 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Grenoble's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Rodez a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Rodez points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rodez win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.5% → 54.7%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.7%
+0.1 pts
Grenoble win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 19.6%
−0.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rodez
Draw
Grenoble
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Rodez
Grenoble
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
16th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
0.80
2.20
Goals/Game
1.20
2.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.4
Shots/Game
7.4
5.9
Shots on Target
2.0
Home vs Away Context
Rodez at home (4 matches) vs Grenoble away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rodez
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Grenoble
Away form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rodez Wins
3
Draws
0
Grenoble Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-03-062025-2026
Rodez1 – 0Grenoble
2025-11-072025-2026
Grenoble2 – 1Rodez
2025-01-312024-2025
Grenoble2 – 1Rodez
2024-10-042024-2025
Rodez2 – 1Grenoble
2024-03-162023-2024
Rodez3 – 1Grenoble
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rodez
vs
Grenoble
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 53.5%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 55.1%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Rodez's 10 matches and 5 of Grenoble's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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