Sochaux vs Boulogne Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Stade Auguste Bonal
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.27
Draw
3.23
Away Win
3.27
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sochaux edge recent form, Boulogne edge attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sochaux stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Boulogne slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boulogne stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Boulogne have recorded two draws and three losses in their last five away outings, while Sochaux sit on a mixed record with two wins and three defeats from their most recent five home fixtures. Sochaux have found the net in just two of their last five home matches and have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Sochaux rate stronger on form, while Boulogne rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2010. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
53%
Boulogne yellow cards after 75'
2
Boulogne points from last 5 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sochaux win
Latest market chance 42.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.0% → 42.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.5% → 29.5%
±0.0 pts
Boulogne win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 28.5%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sochaux
Draw
Boulogne
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sochaux
Boulogne
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
17th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
0.71
0.57
Goals/Game
0.43
0.71
Conceded/Game
0.71
9.1
Shots/Game
11.6
2.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Sochaux at home (3 matches) vs Boulogne away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.67
0.67
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.33
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sochaux
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Boulogne
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sochaux Wins
0
Draws
1
Boulogne Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.5
2010-04-242009-2010
Sochaux0 – 3Boulogne
2010-01-132009-2010
Boulogne0 – 0Sochaux
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sochaux
vs
Boulogne
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
66.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
40.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
21.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.8%→Latest 40.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 47.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Sochaux's 10 matches and 3 of Boulogne's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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