Sochaux vs Nantes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Auguste Bonal
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.36
Draw
3.53
Away Win
2.18
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Sochaux
Nantes
Kapitbafan Djoco 🟨
41'
Benjamin Gomel 🟨
53'
Benjamin Gomel ⚽
61'
63'
🟨 Kelvin Amian
72'
🟨 Saidou Sow
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
20
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sochaux (4-2-3-1)
M. Jeannin
B. Youssouf
M. Peybernes
E. N'Gatta
Dylan Tavares
B. Diawara
J. Masson
B. Fofana
S. Baghdadi
B. Gomel
K. Djoco
Nantes (4-1-4-1)
M. Dupé
A. Cherni
L. Perrin
S. Sow
K. Amian
J. Lepenant
F. Doucouré
B. Pierret
R. Hachem
M. Cafaro
T. Robinet
Player Ratings ?
Sochaux
E. N'GattaD7.5
B. GomelM7.5
B. YoussoufD7.3
Nantes
R. HachemM7.2
S. SowD7.1
L. PerrinD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sochaux edge head-to-head, Nantes edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sochaux stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nantes have shown resilience on the road with two wins and two draws from their last five away fixtures, whereas Sochaux have struggled significantly at home, suffering four defeats in that same recent sample. Sochaux have managed to find the net in just one of their last five home matches and have only kept a single clean sheet during that period. Nantes rate stronger on form and attack, while Sochaux rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2014. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Nantes losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Sochaux points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Sochaux
Sochaux's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sochaux win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Nantes remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sochaux win
Latest market chance 29.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.4% → 29.1%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 27.9%
−0.6 pts
Nantes win
Latest market chance 43.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
45.2% → 43.0%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sochaux
Draw
Nantes
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SochauxNantes
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
17th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
0.80
0.40
Goals/Game
1.40
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.20
9.1
Shots/Game
14.0
2.6
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Sochaux at home (3 matches) vs Nantes away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
67%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sochaux
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nantes
Away form
W
W
D
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sochaux Wins
2
Draws
1
Nantes Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Sochaux1 – 0Nantes
Nantes1 – 0Sochaux
Sochaux2 – 1Nantes
Nantes1 – 1Sochaux
Sochaux1 – 2Nantes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sochauxvs
Nantes
Recent Scoring Profile
0.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.8%→Latest 49.4%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 54.4%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Sochaux's 10 matches and 5 of Nantes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?