St Etienne vs Montpellier Head to Head, Prediction
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.23
Away Win
5.46
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
St Etienne
Montpellier
Maxime Bernauer (Irvin Cardona) ⚽
41'
42'
🟨 Zoumana Camara
Augustine Boakye 🟨
45'
45+5'
⚽ Daylam Meddah (Nordan Mukiele)
Augustine Boakye (Tamar Svetlin) ⚽
49'
59'
🟨 Naoufel El Hannach
I. Cathro 🟨
59'
67'
🟨 Daylam Meddah
Joshua Duffus (Irvin Cardona) ⚽
71'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
14
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
4
18
Fouls
21
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
St Etienne (4-2-3-1)
G. Larsonneur
K. Pedro
J. Le Cardinal
S. Nair
M. Bernauer
T. Svetlin
A. Csongvai
A. Boakye
Z. Davitashvili
T. Ballo
I. Cardona
Montpellier (4-1-4-1)
S. Ngapandouetnbu
N. El Hannach
J. Laporte
Y. Mouanga
T. Sainte-Luce
D. Meddah
N. Pays
H. Abderrebi
F. Tardieu
N. Mukiele
L. Megnan-Pave
Player Ratings ?
St Etienne
T. SvetlinM7.6
M. BernauerD7.5
J. DuffusF7.3
Montpellier
D. MeddahM7.7
F. TardieuM6.7
J. HatchiF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St Etienne
St Etienne rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Montpellier edge defence, giving St Etienne a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Montpellier slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards St Etienne
St Etienne's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St Etienne win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Etienne win
Latest market chance 60.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
58.7% → 60.4%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.1% → 22.6%
−0.5 pts
Montpellier win
Latest market chance 17.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.2% → 17.0%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Etienne
Draw
Montpellier
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St EtienneMontpellier
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
4th
4
Games Played
4
3.00
Points/Game
2.00
3.25
Goals/Game
0.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.25
15.4
Shots/Game
13.0
7.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
St Etienne at home (3 matches) vs Montpellier away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.75
3.33
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Etienne
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montpellier
Away form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Etienne Wins
5
Draws
0
Montpellier Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
St Etienne1 – 0Montpellier
Montpellier0 – 2St Etienne
Montpellier0 – 2St Etienne
St Etienne1 – 0Montpellier
St Etienne3 – 1Montpellier
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Etiennevs
Montpellier
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of St Etienne's 10 matches and 6 of Montpellier's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?