St Etienne vs Rodez Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.40
Draw
4.81
Away Win
7.10
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Etienne edge recent form, attack and defence, Rodez edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St Etienne have enjoyed a robust run at home with four victories in their last five outings, while Rodez have been more inconsistent away from home with two wins and two defeats in the same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets in that period. St Etienne rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Rodez rate stronger on head-to-head. Rodez won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to St Etienne's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 7-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St Etienne unbeaten run
12
St Etienne points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 7 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Etienne win
Latest market chance 66.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
66.5% → 66.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.5% → 19.5%
±0.0 pts
Rodez win
Latest market chance 14.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.0% → 14.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Etienne
Draw
Rodez
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St EtienneRodez

Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
14th
7
Games Played
7
2.29
Points/Game
1.00
2.71
Goals/Game
2.00
1.14
Conceded/Game
2.29
15.4
Shots/Game
15.4
7.0
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
St Etienne at home (3 matches) vs Rodez away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
3.33
Goals/Game
2.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

St Etienne
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Rodez
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Etienne Wins
1
Draws
2
Rodez Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Rodez2 – 1St Etienne
St Etienne4 – 0Rodez
St Etienne1 – 1Rodez
Rodez2 – 1St Etienne
Rodez1 – 1St Etienne
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Etiennevs
Rodez

Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.80
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.5%→Latest 65.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of St Etienne's 10 matches and 3 of Rodez's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?