Altrincham vs Eastleigh Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Moss Lane
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.52
Away Win
3.43
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Altrincham
Eastleigh
8'
🟨 J. Cousins
T. Crawford (A. Barlow) ⚽
13'
32'
⚽ J. Lundstram
L. Humbles (C. Kirk) ⚽
55'
81'
🟨 A. Blair
K. Hemmings 🟨
85'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Altrincham edge head-to-head, Eastleigh edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eastleigh stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Altrincham stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Eastleigh
Eastleigh's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Eastleigh win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Altrincham remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Altrincham win
Latest market chance 45.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
42.8% → 45.0%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.9%
+0.2 pts
Eastleigh win
Latest market chance 28.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
30.5% → 28.1%
−2.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Altrincham
Draw
Eastleigh
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Altrincham
Eastleigh
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.40
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
6.7
Shots/Game
6.3
3.6
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Altrincham at home (5 matches) vs Eastleigh away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.60
2.00
Goals/Game
0.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.80
80%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Altrincham
Home form
L
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Eastleigh
Away form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Altrincham Wins
3
Draws
0
Eastleigh Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-04-112025-2026
Altrincham1 – 0Eastleigh
2025-08-302025-2026
Eastleigh2 – 1Altrincham
2025-01-182024-2025
Eastleigh1 – 2Altrincham
2024-08-242024-2025
Altrincham0 – 1Eastleigh
2024-01-272023-2024
Altrincham4 – 0Eastleigh
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Altrincham
vs
Eastleigh
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 53.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 57.3%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Altrincham's 10 matches and 5 of Eastleigh's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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