Altrincham vs Hornchurch Head to Head | National League

Match Report

Full Time

3 – 0

Match Events

Altrincham

Hornchurch

32'

🟨 H. Sandat

S. Taylor (A. Barlow) ⚽

45+3'

46'

🟨 J. Walker

C. Kirk (K. Reddin) ⚽

54'

J. Knowles ⚽

57'

T. Crawford 🟨

67'

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.

Match Analysis

Hornchurch have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Altrincham boast four victories in that same span at home. Altrincham have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during this run. Altrincham rate stronger on form. Over the 6-day comparison window, Altrincham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Hornchurch's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Altrincham losing run

Altrincham points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift towards Hornchurch

Hornchurch's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hornchurch win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. Altrincham remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Altrincham win

Latest market chance 44.0%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

45.7% → 44.0%

−1.7 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.3% → 26.0%

−0.3 pts

Hornchurch win

Latest market chance 30.0%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

27.9% → 30.0%

+2.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Altrincham

Draw

Hornchurch

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Altrincham

Hornchurch

Season Profile

This season

10th

League Position

9th

Games Played

1.67

Points/Game

1.67

1.33

Goals/Game

1.22

1.67

Conceded/Game

1.33

6.7

Shots/Game

8.3

3.6

Shots on Target

4.2

Home vs Away Context

Altrincham at home (5 matches) vs Hornchurch away (7 matches)

2.40

Points/Game

0.86

2.00

Goals/Game

0.86

1.20

Conceded/Game

2.43

80%

Win Rate

29%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Altrincham

Home form

Won 3 straight at home

1 of these match from last season.

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Hornchurch

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

1.2

Goals scored
per match

2.2

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and Hornchurch.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Altrincham

Hornchurch

Recent Scoring Profile

1.50

Goals scored / game

1.22

1.60

Goals conceded / game

1.33

8/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

5/9

8/10

Both Teams Scored

3/9

2/10

Failed to Score

3/9

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

76.6%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

54.4%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

33.7%

BTTSBoth teams score

58.1%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 53.7%→Latest 54.4%+0.7 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 56.6%→Latest 57.7%+1.1 pts

Slight move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Hornchurch have only 9 completed fixtures on record.

1 of Altrincham's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Altrincham vs Hornchurch Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis