Barrow vs Sutton Head to Head, Prediction
Holker Street
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.39
Away Win
3.21
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Barrow
Sutton
M. Williams (K. Ward) ⚽
18'
I. Cameron 🟨
44'
P. Kalambayi 🟨
47'
M. Oakley 🟨
59'
61'
🟨 J. Francis
76'
🟨 D. Ogbonna
I. Marriott (G. Walker) ⚽
78'
D. Amos 🟨
81'
83'
🟨 T. Babalola
K. Digie 🟨
83'
89'
🟨 D. Urpens
I. Marriott 🟨
90'
B. Whitfield (B. Winterbottom) ⚽
90'
Starting Lineups
Barrow
B. Winterbottom
M. Oakley
P. Kalambayi
D. Amos
T. Latty-Fairweather
M. Williams
S. Smith
K. Ward
G. Walker
I. Marriott
I. Cameron
Sutton
S. Brits
D. Urpens
A. Kirk
T. Byron
B. Topalloj
E. Osadebe
J. Taylor
J. Francis
C. Carter
S. Folarin
T. Babalola
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Sutton stronger
Sutton rate stronger in recent form; Barrow edge head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Sutton stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sutton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Sutton
Sutton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sutton win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Barrow remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barrow win
Latest market chance 43.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
42.1% → 43.1%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.8%
+0.2 pts
Sutton win
Latest market chance 30.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
31.2% → 30.1%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barrow
Draw
Sutton
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarrowSutton
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
2nd
5
Games Played
5
0.40
Points/Game
2.40
1.00
Goals/Game
1.40
1.80
Conceded/Game
0.60
8.9
Shots/Game
6.2
4.9
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Barrow at home (6 matches) vs Sutton away (6 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.83
Goals/Game
1.00
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barrow
Home form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sutton
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barrow Wins
2
Draws
2
Sutton Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Sutton2 – 2Barrow
Barrow2 – 1Sutton
Barrow0 – 0Sutton
Sutton1 – 0Barrow
Barrow1 – 0Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barrowvs
Sutton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 51.3%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 55.9%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Barrow's 10 matches and 5 of Sutton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?