Barrow vs Wealdstone Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Holker Street
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.89
Away Win
4.42
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Barrow
Wealdstone
14'
🟨 D. Kadji
R. Harper (C. Edwards) ⚽
23'
26'
⚽ R. Maher (F. Okenabirhie)
S. Thompson 🟨
31'
G. Walker 🟨
39'
42'
🟨 A. Kanu
54'
🟨 J. Newton
68'
🟨 R. Maher
A. Reid (A. Reid) •
69'
X. Benjamin 🟨
85'
89'
🟨 D. Chesters
K. Ward ⚽
90+5'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Wealdstone have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Barrow have secured three victories in their last five home matches. At home, Barrow have found the net in all five of their recent matches yet have kept a clean sheet only three times during that same period. Barrow rate stronger on form. Over the 6-day comparison window, Barrow's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points, while Wealdstone's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barrow
Barrow's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barrow win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barrow win
Latest market chance 53.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
49.1% → 53.2%
+4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 24.3%
−0.7 pts
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 22.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
25.9% → 22.5%
−3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barrow
Draw
Wealdstone
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarrowWealdstone
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
17th
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
1.09
1.64
Goals/Game
1.45
1.27
Conceded/Game
1.45
8.9
Shots/Game
7.9
4.9
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Barrow at home (6 matches) vs Wealdstone away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.14
1.83
Goals/Game
1.43
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.29
67%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barrow
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wealdstone
Away form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Wealdstone.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barrowvs
Wealdstone
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 56.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 57.5%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?