Boreham Wood vs Carlisle Head to Head, Prediction
Meadow Park
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.66
Draw
4.06
Away Win
4.50
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Boreham Wood
Carlisle
O. Bainbridge 🟨
25'
R. Booty 🟨
55'
60'
⚽ S. Wearne (M. Azeez)
J. Bird (Z. Brunt) ⚽
79'
J. Ellis ⚽ (OG)
82'
C. O'Connell 🟨
85'
90+7'
🟨 J. Ellis
Starting Lineups
Boreham Wood
L. Gunter
J. Clarke
C. O'Connell
C. Bush
O. Bainbridge
R. Booty
T. White
T. Allarakhia
Z. Brunt
D. Cashman
M. Rush
Carlisle
A. Desbois
J. Ellis
M. Feeney
B. Nicholson
R. Galvin
M. Azeez
H. Bunker
D. Ajiboye
J. Williams
S. Wearne
G. Kelly
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boreham Wood stronger
Boreham Wood rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Boreham Wood win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boreham Wood win
Latest market chance 55.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
47.8% → 55.2%
+7.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.7% → 23.0%
−1.7 pts
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 21.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.5% → 21.9%
−5.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boreham Wood
Draw
Carlisle
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boreham WoodCarlisle
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
10th
5
Games Played
5
2.60
Points/Game
1.60
2.80
Goals/Game
2.40
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
10.9
Shots/Game
12.2
5.7
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Boreham Wood at home (6 matches) vs Carlisle away (6 matches)
2.67
Points/Game
1.33
2.83
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
83%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boreham Wood
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Carlisle
Away form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boreham Wood Wins
2
Draws
1
Carlisle Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.7
Carlisle1 – 2Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood2 – 0Carlisle
Carlisle3 – 3Boreham Wood
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boreham Woodvs
Carlisle
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.7%→Latest 62.8%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 61.1%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Boreham Wood's 10 matches and 5 of Carlisle's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?