Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadow Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.72
Draw
4.33
Away Win
4.02
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Boreham Wood
Harrogate
9'
⚽ B. Hobson (M. Williams)
T. Allarakhia ⚽
21'
32'
🟨 W. McGowan
C. O'Connell 🟨
35'
44'
🟨 A. Baptiste
Z. Brunt ⚽ (P)
45'
51'
🟨 J. Hmami
J. Bird (C. Bush) ⚽
56'
Z. Brunt 🟨
62'
B. Whitfield (Z. Brunt) ⚽
66'
R. Booty 🟨
67'
R. Booty 🟥
79'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boreham Wood stronger
Boreham Wood rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Harrogate arrive at this National League fixture with three wins and a single draw from their last five outings away, while Boreham Wood boast an unbeaten run of three victories and two draws in the same number of home matches. At home, Boreham Wood have found the net in each of their last five matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that identical sample period. Boreham Wood rate stronger on form and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 4-day comparison window, Boreham Wood's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points, while Harrogate's implied win probability has risen by 2.5 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Boreham Wood win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boreham Wood win
Latest market chance 54.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
58.0% → 54.8%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.2% → 22.9%
+0.7 pts
Harrogate win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
19.8% → 22.3%
+2.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boreham Wood
Draw
Harrogate
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boreham WoodHarrogate
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
5th
8
Games Played
8
2.50
Points/Game
2.00
2.38
Goals/Game
2.38
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.9
Shots/Game
12.3
5.7
Shots on Target
7.3
Home vs Away Context
Boreham Wood at home (6 matches) vs Harrogate away (5 matches)
2.67
Points/Game
1.80
2.83
Goals/Game
1.60
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.60
83%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boreham Wood
Home form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Harrogate
Away form
D
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boreham Wood Wins
2
Draws
1
Harrogate Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Boreham Wood2 – 1Harrogate
Harrogate0 – 0Boreham Wood
Harrogate0 – 1Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood2 – 4Harrogate
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boreham Woodvs
Harrogate
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 63.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 62.7%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Boreham Wood's 10 matches and 2 of Harrogate's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?