Boston Utd vs Fylde Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Jakemans Community Stadium
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.50
Draw
3.83
Away Win
2.54
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Boston Utd
Fylde
J. Rooney 🟨
32'
T. Cursons 🟨
35'
51'
⚽ D. Mayor
52'
🟨 C. Merrie
80'
🟨 T. Whelan
J. Rooney 🟨
84'
J. Rooney 🟥
84'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Boston Utd edge head-to-head, Fylde edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fylde stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boston Utd slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Fylde have enjoyed a strong away run with four victories from their last five outings on the road, while Boston Utd have struggled at home with just one win and three defeats in their last five matches. Boston Utd have found the net in four of their last five home games but have managed only a single clean sheet during that same period. Fylde rate stronger on form, while Boston Utd hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Boston Utd won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 18 February 2025, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Fylde's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Boston Utd's implied win probability has risen by 3.6 percentage points, while Fylde's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
47%
Boston Utd yellow cards after 75'
12
Fylde points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Boston Utd
Boston Utd's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Boston Utd win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.8% → 37.4%
+3.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.1%
−0.2 pts
Fylde win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
40.9% → 37.4%
−3.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boston Utd
Draw
Fylde
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boston UtdFylde
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.89
1.44
Goals/Game
2.22
1.44
Conceded/Game
1.44
10.3
Shots/Game
8.0
6.0
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Boston Utd at home (6 matches) vs Fylde away (7 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.14
0.83
Goals/Game
2.14
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.43
17%
Win Rate
71%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boston Utd
Home form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fylde
Away form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boston Utd Wins
1
Draws
0
Fylde Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Fylde1 – 2Boston Utd
Boston Utd1 – 2Fylde
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boston Utdvs
Fylde
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 62.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.0%→Latest 64.4%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Boston Utd's 10 matches and 1 of Fylde's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?