Forest Green vs Hartlepool Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The New Lawn
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.05
Away Win
4.52
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Forest Green stronger
Forest Green rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forest Green slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Hartlepool arrive at this National League fixture with a troubling away record of five straight defeats, while Forest Green have managed just one win and one draw from their last five home outings. Forest Green have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept just one clean sheet in that same recent span. Forest Green rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Hartlepool won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 18 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Forest Green's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Forest Green losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Hartlepool points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 57.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.2% → 57.0%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.7% → 22.8%
+0.1 pts
Hartlepool win
Latest market chance 20.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.1% → 20.1%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Forest GreenHartlepool
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
22nd
11
Games Played
12
1.36
Points/Game
0.75
1.55
Goals/Game
0.67
1.64
Conceded/Game
1.42
9.8
Shots/Game
7.3
4.4
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Forest Green at home (6 matches) vs Hartlepool away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
0.50
1.67
Goals/Game
0.67
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.83
33%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forest Green
Home form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hartlepool
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forest Green Wins
2
Draws
2
Hartlepool Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Hartlepool2 – 1Forest Green
Forest Green1 – 0Hartlepool
Hartlepool1 – 1Forest Green
Forest Green1 – 0Hartlepool
Forest Green1 – 1Hartlepool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forest Greenvs
Hartlepool
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 59.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 58.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?