Forest Green vs Wealdstone Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
The New Lawn
Tue 29 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
4.14
Away Win
4.13
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Forest Green
Wealdstone
28'
⚽ F. Okenabirhie (J. Newton)
T. Campbell (S. Etaluku) ⚽
38'
68'
🟨 D. Kadji
70'
🟨 R. Maher
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Forest Green edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Wealdstone have secured two wins and one draw from their last five away outings, whereas Forest Green have recorded two victories but also suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. Forest Green have scored in four of their last five home matches, though they have kept just one clean sheet during that same span. Forest Green rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Forest Green won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 21 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Wealdstone's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.75 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Forest Green
Forest Green's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Forest Green win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 54.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
58.7% → 54.3%
−4.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.3% → 23.1%
+0.8 pts
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 22.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
19.0% → 22.6%
+3.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+4.5+2.250−2.25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forest Green
Draw
Wealdstone
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Forest Green
Wealdstone
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
17th
10
Games Played
10
1.40
Points/Game
1.10
1.60
Goals/Game
1.50
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.50
9.8
Shots/Game
7.9
4.4
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Forest Green at home (6 matches) vs Wealdstone away (7 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.14
1.67
Goals/Game
1.43
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.29
33%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forest Green
Home form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Wealdstone
Away form
D
L
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forest Green Wins
1
Draws
2
Wealdstone Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-03-212025-2026
Forest Green2 – 0Wealdstone
2025-11-222025-2026
Wealdstone1 – 1Forest Green
2025-04-052024-2025
Wealdstone2 – 1Forest Green
2024-09-142024-2025
Forest Green2 – 2Wealdstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forest Green
vs
Wealdstone
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
63.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
43.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 63.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 62.7%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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