Fylde vs Altrincham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Mill Farm
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.60
Draw
4.44
Away Win
4.78
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Fylde
Altrincham
9'
🟨 S. Barnes
15'
⚽ K. Hemmings (M. Kosylo)
T. Whelan (E. Mitchell) ⚽
17'
20'
⚽ M. Kosylo (A. Barlow)
C. Whelan 🟨
27'
41'
🟨 L. Banks
T. Whelan 🟨
53'
78'
🟨 J. Cooper
A. Lewis 🟨
85'
88'
🟨 K. Reddin
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Altrincham edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Altrincham stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Altrincham have secured two victories in their last five away outings, while Fylde have recorded just one win and suffered two defeats during their most recent five home matches. At home, Fylde have found the net in three of their last five matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet only once within that same sample. Altrincham rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Fylde won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 22 February 2025, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Altrincham's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.25 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Fylde's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points, while Altrincham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Fylde
Fylde's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fylde win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fylde win
Latest market chance 57.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
54.6% → 57.8%
+3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.5% → 22.1%
−1.4 pts
Altrincham win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.8% → 20.0%
−1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fylde
Draw
Altrincham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FyldeAltrincham
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
12th
8
Games Played
8
2.13
Points/Game
1.50
2.38
Goals/Game
1.25
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.75
8.0
Shots/Game
6.7
4.9
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Fylde at home (5 matches) vs Altrincham away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.29
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.71
20%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fylde
Home form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Altrincham
Away form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fylde Wins
1
Draws
1
Altrincham Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
Altrincham1 – 2Fylde
Fylde0 – 5Altrincham
Altrincham2 – 1Fylde
Fylde3 – 3Altrincham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fyldevs
Altrincham
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.7%→Latest 61.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 59.4%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Fylde's 10 matches and 2 of Altrincham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?